Jimmy Rollins8217s Vanishing Bat

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Jimmy Rollins8217s Vanishing Bat

Indlægaf jackky » 22. aug 2017, 10:23

One from the more confounding areas of baseball, and surely if youre a baseball player, may be the disappearance of what appeared to be a completely reliable set of skills for longer amounts of time. Some of it could be explained away by statistical measures while others are attempted to be explained away with a narrative. But frequently, its difficult to unearth a tidy explanation. And thats simultaneously frustrating and rather fascinating.
I was scanning the leader board recently C.J. Prosise Jersey , looking at strikeout and walk rates for hitters and people who have seen notable changes this year. For curiositys sake, heres what caught my attention after a cursory glance:
NameSeasonBB%K%Rickie Weeks201214.10%31.20%20119.70%20.80%Nick Markakis201210.10%17.50%20118.70%10.50%Miguel Montero201211.00%25.20%20118.50%17.50%Miguel Cabrera20126.70%13.90%201115.70%12.90%Mark Teixeira20126.90%11.30%201111.10%16.10%Kurt Suzuki20122.90%17.60%20117.40%12.40%Josh Willingham201213.50%19.20%20119.90%26.60%Jimmy Rollins20128.60%16.20%20119.20%9.40%Corey Hart20127.20%28.30%20119.30%20.70%Ben Zobrist201217.50%16.40%201111.40%19.00%Asdrubal Cabrera201211.20%7.50%20116.60%17.80%There are a few oddities in for sure. Miguel Cabreras walk rates are vanishing nearly as quickly as Asdrubal Cabreras strikeout rate. Mark Teixeira is striking le s but hitting for a lot le s power while Nick Markakis is striking out a ton more and hitting for much more power. Rickie Weeks Nick Moody Jersey is kind of refusing to swing at all but striking out like hes Mark Reynolds and Kurt Suzuki is swinging at everything and getting results like hes Matt Walbeck.
The name that jumped out at me was Jimmy Rollins. Im not sure exactly why if its the new contract, if its because contact skills have been this kind of important part of his game, or po sibly simply because hes just a player Ive enjoyed watching. But Jimmy Rollins is scuffling right now, having a slash type of .229/.295/.283. That puts his wOBA just ahead of guys like Cliff Pennington and Jamey Carroll, and merely a notch behind Willie Bloomquist. Rollins has been a good, and also at times great, offensive shortstop for the better a part of ten years. Yet in the first 42 games of 2012, hes among the worst.
His contact rates are all well within reason for what you would expect from Jimmy Rollins, and in fact, his contact rate in the strikezone is currently at a career high. His swinging strike rates are just 4.7%, Will Pericak Jersey that is a tiny bit above last year, but slightly le s than his career norm.
The swinging strike figure is particularly curious. There are 120 (qualified) players with a strikeout rate of 15% or higher, and just two po se s a swinging strike rate as low or lower than Jimmy Rollins (A.J. Ellis and Nick Markakis). But his strikeout looking rate is about 3.8%, that is actually underneath the league average (roughly 4.5%). His strikeouts when swinging, however, are up significantly:
<p style="text-align: left;">Data Source: StatCorner.com
This isnt the very first time Rollins has witne sed a strikeout rate quite this high, but its certainly the highest rate of swinging strikeout rates weve seen from him. One of the other major differences with his strikeout totals is that when he was striking out that much, he was still being hitting for good power, but thats changed dramatically thus far this year:
There are some reasons to believe that things ought to improve a bit, however. His IFFB rates are in a rather nutty 18% at this time, although he does po se s a career rate of 10.7% which is Richard Sherman Jersey above the major league average. His HR/FB rate is also very reasonable just 2% where he owns a career 7.7% rate. His BABIP is .272 where his xBABIP is all about .293, so he might expect some more fortuitous hops going forward. Rollins is also notoriously streaky, and has historically taken some time to get his bat properly tuned. In his career, his wOBA reaches its very best in July, August, and September.
Rollins contact rates continue to be solid, however when hes getting in touch, its just not very good contact. Our prime IFFB% coupled with his high swinging strikeout rate make me wonder if hes simply not picking the ball as well as he has previously. All of this could be part of the natural aging curve, but if it continues, its likely to look a lot more like the DOW Jones Kona Schwenke Jersey on black Tuesday than the usual natural arc.
Looking at shortstops, WAR, and age, there havent been lots who produced at a high level after age 33:
Its obviously still at the start of 2012, and its entirely po sible that Rollins can right the ship almost as much ast he has over the course of his career and set together an awesome other half. Taking a look at his peripherals, we have to see some kind of approximation from the old Jimmy Rollins that were used to and certainly as a fan of the game, I hope he does transform it around. After investing another $33 million dollars in Rollins through 2014, Philadelphia clearly expects he'll.
But separating the fan from the objective observer, Im worried this is the beginning of an immediate decline, which will be a real shame for just one from the more dynamic and enjoyable players to look at.
jackky

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Re: Jimmy Rollins8217s Vanishing Bat

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